The horse racing NAP of the Day for SportsLens tipsters on Tuesday, 12 July, is Bathiva. He runs in the 2m fixed brush hurdle for novices at Southwell this evening (7:40). This Fergal O’Brien runner appeals at odds against and an 11/8 price for victory here.
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This is a major drop in horse racing class from the handicap chases Bathiva has run in lately. Although an eight-year-old, the Spanish Moon gelding has run some fine races in defeat over fences in recent times. With race fitness on his side over his main market rival, he thus rates our horse racing NAP of the Day.
Why will horse racing NAP of the Day Bathiva win?
Four of 14 O’Brien runners in July so far have won. That’s a 29 per cent strike rate month to day coming into this evening jumps card. Following the yard’s runners at Southwell on the best betting sites over the last five seasons has also been profitable. If we had backed every O’Brien horse blind at this venue in that time, then that would’ve yielded almost £14 profit to a £1 level stake.
Bathiva is a four-race maiden over hurdles, but five from 12 over fences. He only has to concede 4lb weight for age to the five four-year-olds in opposition. Those terms are more generous than older horses on the Flat give away right now. After scoring in Class 3 company off 131 at Ludlow last November and finishing fourth in two competitive Cheltenham handicaps before that, a repeat of his best race results ought to win this hands down.
As Bathiva is 10lb lower over hurdles than fences, he has to be well-handicapped. His fifth to Slate House at Kempton Park races on reappearance saw him far from disgraced behind two Grade 1 winning novice chasers….
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