Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount’s is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook, the GG.co.uk website and a regular pundit on William Hill radio. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below…
Andrew heads to Lingfield (all-weather), Musselburgh (Flat) and Chelmsford (all-weather) for three selections on Thursday, April 28th. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:
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LINGFIELD 2.00
CHIEF OF STAFF (system – Saeed Bin Suroor, first-time hood)
Since the beginning of 2016, trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has a 19 from 43 record (44.2% strike-rate) with horses wearing a hood for the first time. Backing them blind would have returned a profit of £33.80 to a £1 level stake at SP. CHIEF OF STAFF, who could never get involved from his wide draw when beating only a couple home at Kempton last time, won in the first-time cheekpieces last summer and looks worth chancing after a short break.
MUSSELBURGH 5.05
TWILIGHT SECRET (system – Twilight Son, 3yo+, 5f-7f, good or faster going)
Progeny of the sire Twilight Son tend to improve with age and also prefer good/faster turf and a trip of 7f or shorter. Backing those aged three plus under these conditions would have found 23 winners from 124 bets (18.6% strike-rate) for a profit of £15.39 to a £1 level stake at SP. In handicaps only, their record is 21 from 98 (21.4%) for a profit of £38.61. Only three ran at Musselburgh and they included winners at 9-1…
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